What’s going on with penalties – is it time to end the ‘stutter’?

Penalty Stutter Debate Reignited After Mbappe’s Foxborough Miss

What s going on with penalties – While France’s journey to potentially securing a third World Cup crown continues, Kylian Mbappe’s earlier penalty miss against Morocco may fade from memory. The incident occurred in Foxborough when the match remained scoreless and the French captain was brought down by Noussair Mazraoui. Rather than proceeding with his customary confidence, Mbappe hesitated during his approach, glanced toward Moroccan goalkeeper Yassine Bounou, and subsequently saw his gentle effort comfortably collected.

Redemption arrived at the sixty-minute mark when Mbappe unleashed a magnificent curling strike that dismantled Morocco’s resilient defense. Ousmane Dembele subsequently extended the advantage six minutes later, confirming France’s 2-0 victory. Nevertheless, this uncharacteristic error from the tournament’s joint-leading scorer prompts consideration: perhaps the era of stuttering penalty approaches has reached its conclusion.

Historical Context and Statistics

Traditional football enthusiasts rank stuttering run-ups among their primary grievances regarding contemporary gameplay, alongside players sporting gloves with short-sleeved jerseys, theatrical diving, and the implementation of VAR technology. FIFA regulations permit players to pause or feint during their approach, provided this occurs sufficiently before striking the ball. This technique possesses considerable history, having been utilized by legends including John Aldridge, Mexico’s Hugo Sanchez, and Pele.

“This stuttering penalty seems to be the one. The goalkeepers seem to have got a march on it now,” noted Ian Wright on ITV.

Mbappe now joins an increasingly lengthy roster of players who have faltered after employing the stutter technique. Bruno Guimaraes, Jorgen Strand Larsen, Lionel Messi, and Harry Kane have all experienced similar disappointments, though Kane successfully converted his retake against Croatia without utilizing the stutter in his approach.

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The statistics from this World Cup prove illuminating. Among twenty-six penalties taken with the stutter technique—including shootout conversions—eleven failed to find the net, yielding a conversion rate of merely fifty-seven percent. Conversely, twenty-four of thirty-five non-stutter penalties have been successfully converted, representing a sixty-eight percent success rate.

Goalkeeper Evolution and Tactical Arms Race

This tournament has witnessed an unprecedented challenge for penalty takers. Thirty percent of non-shootout penalties have been missed, marking the second-highest miss rate since records commenced in 1966. When shootout attempts are incorporated, the overall miss rate climbs to thirty-five percent, the highest figure recorded since the tournament’s inception.

“There is an arms race going on. It is definitely harder to score a penalty now. The reason being, the goalkeepers are bigger now, more athletic,” explained former Scotland winger Pat Nevin on BBC Radio 5 Live.

“If your keeper goes the right way, you must hit the side netting with pace, even then it still might be saved. A very good penalty is no longer a certainty, so you have to re-think it. I need to make sure he goes the wrong way, hence the stutter, you try to send them the wrong way.”

“Of course the goalkeepers have the data, they know what everybody does, there is no hiding what you prefer because it shows up. There is a constant running battle to figure out how you get the advantage.”

Successful practitioners of the stutter technique during this tournament include Marko Arnautovic, Raul Jimenez, Neymar, Cristiano Ronaldo, Yoane Wissa, and Kai Havertz. Mbappe himself has demonstrated considerable proficiency with the method, having previously employed it successfully against Morocco.

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Mbappe’s Specific Circumstances

Pat Nevin provided additional insight into Mbappe’s particular situation: “Mbappe knows what his advantage is: preparation. He has a set up [placing the ball before taking the penalty], he went through it twice today but problem is that he had to go through it three times, and the third time [he missed].”

This represented only Mbappe’s second penalty miss for France, having previously failed to convert against Kazakhstan in a World Cup qualifier during March 2021. His overall record for the national team stands at fourteen successful conversions from sixteen attempts. At club level, his conversion rate drops slightly to fifty goals from sixty-two attempts.

Bounou proved to be a formidable adversary for the French star. The Moroccan goalkeeper has been beaten by only two of the nine World Cup penalties he has encountered, including shootout situations, recording four saves and three misses. Compounding Mbappe’s difficulties was a substantial VAR-related delay of three minutes and twelve seconds between the penalty being awarded and Bounou’s eventual save.

“Routines are so important in football. That clearly distracted Mbappe. I thought he went very quickly once he started,” added French journalist Julien Laurens on BBC Radio 5 Live, describing the miss as “the breakdown of his usual routine and it is just a terrible penalty.”

Laurens further emphasized that Bounou ranks among the world’s finest penalty specialists, noting that the weak nature of Mbappe’s effort made it an “easy save” for the Moroccan custodian.