Scottish Independence Referendum Could Be Held by 2028, Says Swinney

First Minister John Swinney has suggested that Scotland may face a second independence referendum as early as 2028. During a BBC Scotland Debate Night event in Paisley Town Hall, he argued that such a vote on the nation’s constitutional status could occur within two years. Swinney emphasized that the people of Scotland deserve the right to determine their future, though he acknowledged the current political stalemate.

Party Leaders Clash Over Scotland’s Future

While the SNP leader called for a referendum to resolve the constitutional deadlock, other leaders offered differing perspectives. Green co-leader Ross Greer asserted that Scotland’s destiny should rest in its own hands, criticizing Westminster for withholding a second vote. Labour’s Anas Sarwar, however, stated the upcoming election was not centered on independence, but rather on forming a government that addresses key challenges like the NHS and cost of living.

“We’re not having one [referendum]” declared Health Secretary Wes Streeting to LBC, adding that “this country has had enough of chaos.”

Conservative chief Russell Findlay warned that a referendum would be a “disaster,” urging the SNP to focus on maintaining Scotland’s role in the UK. Reform UK’s Malcolm Offord admitted that a second vote could be divisive but hinted at the possibility if independence support hit 60%. Meanwhile, the Scottish Liberal Democrats’ Alex Cole-Hamilton claimed he hadn’t considered a referendum, prioritizing issues such as education and economic stability.

Key Issues Dominated the Debate

During the discussion, party leaders addressed various topics, including immigration, healthcare, and energy. Offord argued that Holyrood should concentrate on improving local lives, while Findlay highlighted the strain on Glasgow’s services due to the city’s 3,800 asylum seekers. Susan Aitken, Glasgow City Council leader, previously noted that the city had “run out of temporary accommodation,” underscoring the urgency of the issue.

“People want Holyrood to get on with the day job and improve people’s lives,” Offord remarked.

Greer accused Offord of stoking division, claiming immigration is essential to address the NHS and skills shortages. Sarwar criticized Reform UK for questioning his commitment to Scotland, suggesting the party was targeting migrants. The debate also touched on the UK government’s role in controlling borders, with Swinney insisting that an SNP majority could break the current impasse.

UK Government’s Stance on Referendum

Although a second vote would require approval from the UK government, Prime Minister Sir Keir Starmer expressed doubt about holding one during his leadership. Swinney, however, remained optimistic, stating that an “emphatic mandate” for an SNP majority would empower Scotland to shape its own path. The discussion highlighted tensions between those advocating for independence and those prioritizing stability within the union.